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Trump Is Closing In On Biden's Lead With Young Voters

Abortion to remain a top issue in this year's general election


Trump Is Closing In On Biden's Lead With Young Voters

President Joe Biden’s lead over former President Donald Trump is beginning to shrink, according to a new Axios-Generation Lab survey.


The poll, which was conducted Feb. 3-14, 2024 and sampled 1,073 18- to 34-year-olds, found that Biden leads Trump by a slim margin of just four points (52-48).


"We don't know enough yet," Neil O'Brian, a political scientist at the University of Oregon, told Axios. "But this idea that young people are gonna keep populating into the Democratic Party? There are some question marks around that."


Overall, a majority of young Americans say they are likely to vote in this year’s upcoming elections. More than a quarter of young voters (27 percent) say they would consider running for public office, the survey found.


Among the top issues for young voters headed into the election are the economy and abortion.


Top Issues


  • Economy (39 percent)

  • Abortion (16 percent)

  • Student Debt (11 percent)

  • Immigration (11 percent)

  • Climate Change (10 percent)

  • Guns (7 percent)


"At this point, I'm tired of stressing about debts and cost of living, and I'm tired of being in a place where I feel like I need to move out of this country to make a change," Jessica Gourdet, a 32-year-old restaurant owner in Vauxhall, New Jersey, who says she doesn't plan to vote this year, told Axios.


"I just don't believe my vote would make a difference,” she added.


Following success in the 2022 midterm elections, progressive politicians and abortion rights advocates are preparing to make abortion a top issue this year.


Pro-abortion groups have worked feverishly to get abortion ballot measures in at least nine states, which will help drive turnout from progressive voters likely to vote for Biden.


According to the Axios survey, 70 percent of young voters believe abortion should be legal in either all cases or most cases.


About two-thirds of young people say they are planning on voting in the 2024 general election.


"I'm incredibly disappointed by how old [the candidates] are," David Place, a 25-year-old from Connecticut, who's planning to vote for Trump, told Axios. "I will say that Biden's age and the way it affects him is way more apparent to people than Trump's."

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