2024 Election /

Pew: Black Voters Could Shape Key Outcomes In 2024 Election

Projections show there will be 34.4 million eligible black voters by Election Day

Pew: Black Voters Could Shape Key Outcomes In 2024 Election

Black voters could determine the outcome of key races in 2024 elections, including the presidential race, according to new demographic data analyzed by Pew Research.

Following years of growth, the number of eligible black voters is expected to reach 34.4 million people by the November general election, as noted in the recent report from Pew.

Among minorities, black voters have higher turnout rates compared to Latino and Asian eligible voters, the report states.

In the past three election cycles, black voters have selected Democrat candidates at about a 92 percent rate, compared to Republicans. The storm clouds hovering over Democrats in this year’s cycle, however, are due to growing discontent with the party among black voters who are disillusioned over the policy priorities of the Biden administration and are exploring other options.

President Joe Biden’s support among black voters has declined from 87 percent in 2020 to 63 percent as of this month, a number that could result in significant losses if it translates to presidential and down-ballot votes on Election Day.

"Black voters realize now that Biden has failed this administration," Dorothy Harpe, a Georgia resident, said during a recent interview. "The prices of gas and everything is so expensive, and I spoke with some of the Black voters yesterday, and they said that everything was better under the administration of Donald Trump."

According to Pew, black Americans now account for a third of eligible voters (2.6 million) in Georgia, a key swing state that has more than a dozen U.S. House seats up for grabs this year, along with multiple statewide races.

Roughly half of eligible black voters live in one of eight states: Texas, Georgia, Florida, New York, California, North Carolina, Maryland, and Illinois.

Pew also projects black Americans will account for 14 percent of eligible voters in the country this November, an increase from 13.5 percent in the 2020 election.

Roughly 70 percent of black Americans are eligible to vote, a higher share than among Hispanics and Asians, the report states, though the share of the black population eligible to vote varies by state — 74 percent of black residents of Alabama, Washington, D.C. and South Carolina are eligible to vote, while less than 60 percent are eligible in Minnesota, Utah, and Iowa.

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